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Bitcoin Price Prediction suggests upward momentum amid strong institutional buying pressure.
Chart timeframe: 1M + 1W
Indicators: EMA 12 / 21 / 50 / 100
Current price: $88,206
Monthly Context: Gap, Liquidity & Market Memory
After printing a new all-time high above $100K, BitcoinClick here for more Details pulled back into a critical area of monthly imbalance — the $73,626 gap formed during the parabolic breakout in late 2024. Despite a local bounce, this gap remains partially unfilled. More importantly, it intersects with the ATH zone of 2024, which has not been retested since the breakout.
From a Smart Money perspective, this creates a high-probability liquidity zone:
– Unfilled gap = inefficiency that often gets revisited
– Untested breakout = clean level with resting liquidity
We’ve already seen this play out in mid-2024: BTC fully filled a similar monthly gap before resuming its rally — a classic example of price seeking balance before continuation. Until the zone is either filled or invalidated by a strong breakout above the highs, the $73K–$76K region remains magnetically relevant and the Bitcoin price prediction open.
Weekly Structure: Price Moves Above $86K — But It's the Close That Matters
On the weekly chart, BTC has moved intraday above the $86K level — a key zone that sits just above the 12/21 EMA cluster and slightly above prior local highs. However, for this move to carry technical weight, it’s not enough to simply tap above the level — what matters is whether we close the weekly candle above it.
– The price remains inside a broader compression zone between EMA 12/21 (now slightly
below) and EMA 50 (still acting as dynamic support).
– The structure is coiled — and we are approaching a breakout decision.
– A confirmed close above $86K would mark a weekly MSB (market structure break), potentially triggering bullish momentum.
The next area to watch is $89K–$90K — an untested high from March and a significant resistance zone. This is where the market is likely to face its next decision point.
Key Zones:
– Support: $66,000–$73,600 (monthly gap + untested 2024 ATH zone + EMA 100)
– Resistance: $89,000–$90,000 (untested high from March)
Personal View:
I’m watching how the weekly candle closes around $86K — this is the key to determine if the structure shifts in favor of bulls. It’s encouraging to see price push above its intraday, but confirmation only comes on a weekly close. If we get that, I’ll start looking for long opportunities on retests and pullbacks, ideally with confluence on the 4H and daily charts. Until then, I remain cautious — the unfilled gap below keeps the possibility of a deeper dip alive.
Trading Analysis by Natalia Volodashchik | Smart Money View
